A comparison of the 2015 November City of Houston Election results with the 2023 November results within Harris County indicate the following:
- In 19 zip code areas where the “White alone” population is 60% or more and the rest of the population is mostly comprised by Hispanics and Asians, the non-Spanish-surname non-Asian-surname vote was up 3%.
- In 15 zip code areas that are 95% or more minority and where the Black population is a majority, largest plurality or near the largest plurality, the non-Spanish-surname non-Asian surname vote was down 21%. (This includes the top ten African-American zip code areas in Houston.) NOTE: In zip code areas where Blacks and Hispanics comprised about the same population percentage, Hispanics’ lack of citizenship status and under 18 years of age population make the non-Spanish-surname and non-Asian surname voters (i.e. Black vote) dominant. The 2017-2021 American Community Survey says that the African American CVAP in Houston is down to 28% and that African Americans growth in Harris County has been outside Houston proper. So the Black vote being down in Houston is consistent with the ACS findings but it is probably not down 21%. What the decrease in the non-Spanish non-Asian surname vote in the 15 predominantly Black zip code areas show may be due to population shifts within the city or out of the city.
- Overall, compared to the 2015 Nov. election, the Spanish-surname vote was down 12%. And, the Asian-surname vote was up 894 votes or 11%.
